IEA称今年第四季度全球炼油产量将增加

中国石化新闻网讯 据能源世界网10月15日伦敦报道，国际能源机构(IEA)周三表示，全球炼油日吞吐量将在今年最后一个季度增加逾200万桶，尽管这一增长不足以平衡石油产品市场。

    冠状病毒封锁导致的运输燃料需求大幅下降，给全球炼油商带来了巨大压力，压低了利润率，并将利用率拉至35年来的最低水平。

    据IEA的月度报告显示，第三季全球炼油厂原油日产量为7,370万桶，较去年同期减少近900万桶。

    该机构预计，今年最后一个季度原油日摄入量将增加210万桶，达到7580万桶。

    该机构表示，尽管如此，运行量仍比平衡产品市场所需的水平低了近300万桶/日，导致库存减少。

    IEA预测，2021年全球原油日均吞吐量将反弹490万桶，至7940万桶。

    炼油商还面临着石油使用结构转变的挑战，从汽油、柴油和航空燃料等运输燃料转向石化原料。

    由于在线购物的蓬勃发展，对一次性塑料(7240, -25.00, -0.34%)和包装材料的需求推动了石化行业在封锁期的增长。

    然而，IEA表示，9月份原油价格自4月份以来首次下跌，为产品利润率提供了一些短暂的支撑。

    上周欧洲汽油驳船利润率触及七个月高位，受西非和美国出口需求强劲以及地区炼油厂停产提振。

    欧洲柴油市场本月也从历史低点反弹，因地区炼油厂关闭维修，俄罗斯出口下降，从而抵消了持续疲弱的需求。

    郝芬 译自 能源世界网

    原文如下：

    IEA says refining throughput set for quarterly rise

    Global refining throughput will increase in the last quarter of the year by more than 2 million barrels per day (bpd), the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Wednesday, though the rise will not be sufficient to balance oil products markets.

    The sharp fall in demand for transport fuels owing to coronavirus lockdowns has placed significant pressure on refiners worldwide, weighing on margins and dragging down utilisation rates to their lowest in 35 years.

    The IEA's monthly report said that global refinery crude throughput was at 73.7 million bpd in the third quarter, almost 9 million bpd down from the same period last year.

    It predicted the crude intake would rise by 2.1 million bpd to 75.8 million bpd in the final quarter of the year.

    "Nevertheless, runs will be almost 3 million bpd below the levels required to balance the product markets, leading to stock draws," the agency said.

    Average global throughput in 2021 will rebound by 4.9 million bpd to 79.4 million bpd, the agency forecasts.

    Refineries have also faced the challenge of a structural shift in oil use, moving away from transport fuels such as gasoline, diesel and jet fuel towards petrochemicals feedstock.

    The petrochemicals sector remained strong during lockdowns, buoyed by the need for single-use plastics and packaging materials as a result of a boom in online shopping.

    However, the IEA said the fall in crude prices in September, the first since April, offered some short-lived support to product margins.

    European gasoline barge profit margins hit a seven-month high last week, boosted by firm export demand from West Africa and the United States and regional refinery shutdowns.

    European diesel markets also recovered this month from historic lows as regional refineries shut for maintenance and Russian exports dropped, helping to offset persistently weak demand.